INTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

INTU - Intuit Inc

SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE
$369.44
18.50 (5.27%) β–²
5d: -11.48%
30d: -15.1%
90d: -42.89%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Apr 13, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 28, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

INTU is down 5.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $480 2026-04-17 with 1,997 OI. Call ratio: 71% View Scanner →

Strength: 4.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: INTU is down 11.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$828.88
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$514.67
28.2% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 20.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: INTU is currently trading at $369.44, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $399.06 to $462.76. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 13.9) compared to its historical average (20.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 11.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 48.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, INTU is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $342.11, while resistance sits at $436.59. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.

Market Sentiment: INTU has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $603.49 (+63.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $399.06 - $462.76
Company Quality Score 49/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 61.9%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 63.4% below Wall St target ($603.49)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $399.06 - $462.76
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $342.11
Resistance Level $436.59
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Apr 13, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.95
Wall Street Target $603.49 (+63.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 17.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 48.5%
Profit Margin 21.6%
Valuation Discount vs History -11.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.0 vs 20.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -11.8% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $332.50 (-10%)
2-Year Target $299.25 (-19%)
3-Year Target $269.32 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14β†’20) $393.76 (+7%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 20.6, Growth: 14.0%) $807.00 (+118%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.0, Growth: 14.0%) $547.41 (+48%)
Bear: (PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.0%) $465.30 (+26%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (14x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.83 | Current EPS (TTM): $15.37
Bull Case $665.00 (+80%)
Analyst growth 72.3%, PE expands to 25.1
Base Case $604.55 (+64%)
Market implied 72.3%, PE stable at 22.8
Bear Case $238.64 (-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.0 to 20.4
Stabilization Target: $540.13 (+46.2%)
PE Expansion Potential: +46.2%
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Last updated: April 13, 2026 7:29 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:29 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
5
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Richard L Dalzell SELL 333 shares 2026-03-12
Richard L Dalzell SELL 333 shares 2026-03-10
Markwayne Mullin SELL 2026-02-25

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Advanced INTU Option Strategies

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