LW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
LW - Lamb Weston Holdings, Inc.
$43.76
0.95 (2.22%)
▲
5d:
-0.68%
30d:
-0.41%
90d:
-7.33%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: May 22, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 01, 2026
0d
Smart Money Distribution
None View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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1 traders called LW this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: LW shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$56.89
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.33
Trading above historical range
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: LW is currently trading at $43.76, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $42.02 to $44.37. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.6) is in line with its historical norms (14.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, LW is in a downtrend. The price is approaching resistance at $44.57. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: LW has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Historical Trading Range
$42.02 -
$44.37
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
78.6%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($46.36)
Trading Range Analysis
30-Day Trading Range
$42.02 -
$44.37
Current vs Trading Range
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$40.16
Resistance Level
$44.57
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
May 21, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.60
Wall Street Target
$46.36
(+5.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.2%
Profit Margin
4.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
14.6 vs 14.7
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$43.67
(0%)
2-Year Target
$43.59
(0%)
3-Year Target
$43.50
(-1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
$43.79
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.0, Growth: 6.5%)
$79.64
(+82%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$52.88
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.4, Growth: 6.5%)
$44.94
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.13
Bull Case
$66.26
(+51%)
Analyst growth 40.7%, PE expands to 22.1
Base Case
$60.24
(+38%)
Market implied 40.7%, PE stable at 20.1
Bear Case
$29.11
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 14.7
Stabilization Target:
$44.06
(+0.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+0.7%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: May 24, 2026 6:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is LW showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
7
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
INSIDERS BUYING
Recent Transactions
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
50000 shares
2026-04-15
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-13
Jana Partners Management…
BUY
100000 shares
2026-04-08
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