Is AHCO stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, AHCO is currently a HOLD with moderate confidence. 📊 HOLD: AHCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of AHCO stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for AHCO to be between $9.37 and $10.83. The current price is $11.29.

What is the analyst price target for AHCO?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for AHCO is $12.88. This implies a potential upside of 14.0% from current levels.

AHCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AHCO - AdaptHealth Corp. Common Stock

SERVICES-HOME HEALTH CARE SERVICES

$11.29

0.09 (0.80%) ▲

5d: +8.87%

30d: +23.39%

90d: +10.15%

HOLD

MODERATE Confidence

Protect Your AHCO Gains

Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

Smart Money Distribution

AHCO is up 13.0% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $10 2026-06-18 with 11,008 OI. Put ratio: 97% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AHCO shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 24.7%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$23.11

Based on 14.4% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$14.35

21.3% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.6x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AHCO is currently trading at $11.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.37 to $10.83. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AHCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $9.81, while resistance sits at $11.75.

Market Sentiment: AHCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.88 (+14.0%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED

Fair Price Range $9.37 - $10.83

Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

BEARISH: Price extended above range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($12.88)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $9.37 - $10.83

Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $9.81

Resistance Level $11.75

Current Trend Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 9.08

Wall Street Target $12.88 (+14.0%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -1.2%

Earnings Growth (YoY) 6.7%

Profit Margin -2.2%

Valuation Discount vs History -1.9% cheaper

PE vs Historical 9.1 vs 9.6 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): -1.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $11.08 (-2%)

2-Year Target $10.87 (-4%)

3-Year Target $10.66 (-6%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→10) $11.27 (0%)

3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth

Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 24.7%) $53.86 (+377%)

Base: (SPY PE: 9.1, Growth: 24.7%) $21.87 (+94%)

Bear: (PE: 7.7, Growth: 24.7%) $18.59 (+65%)

💡 Upside Surprise Potential

If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.1 to 9.6

Stabilization Target: $11.94 (+5.8%)

PE Expansion Potential: +5.8%

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Last updated: March 30, 2026 7:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:14 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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Recent Transactions

Richard M Cashin Jr BUY 689336 shares 2026-03-12

Richard M Cashin Jr BUY 536827 shares 2026-03-11

Richard M Cashin Jr BUY 820528 shares 2026-03-10

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Advanced AHCO Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AHCO price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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