ATEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATEN - A10 NETWORKS INC
$17.69
0.25 (1.43%)
▲
5d:
-0.67%
30d:
+0.0%
90d:
+0.11%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 04, 2026
TODAY
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ATEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ATEN shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$23.23
Based on 5.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$14.42
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 18.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATEN is currently trading at $17.69, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $17.23 to $17.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 18.7) is in line with its historical norms (18.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.80, while resistance sits at $18.52.
Market Sentiment: ATEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.17 (+31.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $16.80, while resistance sits at $18.52.
Market Sentiment: ATEN has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (21th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.17 (+31.0%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$17.23 -
$17.91
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
21th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
89.2%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 21th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 31.0% below Wall St target ($23.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with 11.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$17.23 -
$17.91
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.93
(5.2%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$16.80
Resistance Level
$18.52
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
18.73
Wall Street Target
$23.17
(+31.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.3%
Profit Margin
17.8%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
18.7 vs 18.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$17.74
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$17.80
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$17.85
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 19→19)
PE COMPRESSION
$17.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 7.5%)
$26.13
(+48%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 18.7, Growth: 7.5%)
$21.95
(+24%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.9, Growth: 7.5%)
$18.65
(+6%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (19x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 25.65 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.68
Bull Case
$26.65
(+51%)
Analyst growth 38.9%, PE expands to 28.2
Base Case
$24.23
(+37%)
Market implied 38.9%, PE stable at 25.7
Bear Case
$11.86
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 21.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 03, 2026 3:03 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:03 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATEN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Becker
SELL
6400 shares
2025-08-13
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