ATKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATKR - Atkore Inc.
$69.45
-0.88 (-1.25%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ATKR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.17
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.54
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATKR is currently trading at $69.45, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $65.07 to $71.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.9) is in line with its historical norms (11.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATKR is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $67.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$65.07 -
$71.26
Company Quality Score
56/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
39th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.8%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 39th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($65.80)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.3% growth with -4.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$65.07 -
$71.26
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.54
(6.5%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$67.52
Resistance Level
$74.58
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.91
Wall Street Target
$65.80
(-6.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-4.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-62.5%
Profit Margin
-0.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.9 vs 11.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$70.54
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$70.75
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$70.96
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→12)
PE COMPRESSION
$70.31
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 14.1%)
$195.65
(+178%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.9, Growth: 14.1%)
$104.49
(+49%)
Bear:
(PE: 10.1, Growth: 14.1%)
$88.82
(+26%)
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark F Lamps
SELL
1000 shares
2025-08-15
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Advanced ATKR Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ATKR price and gamma walls.
