BAP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BAP - Credicorp LTD

Commercial Banks, NEC
$356.83
-8.59 (-2.35%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your BAP Gains
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 12, 2026 11d
Smart Money Distribution

BAP is up 3.6% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $360 2026-03-20 with 4 OI. Put ratio: 100% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.8/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: BAP trades at premium valuation expecting 7.3% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$420.70
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$261.22
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BAP is currently trading at $356.83, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $289.19 to $340.79. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.1) compared to its historical average (10.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 7.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BAP is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $365.42. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: BAP has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $321.71. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $289.19 - $340.79
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 51.4%

Protect Your Profits

BAP is technically overbought (RSI 80). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading 12.0% above Wall St target ($321.71)
  • NEUTRAL: Trading at premium valuation - market expects 7.3% growth which is achievable

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $289.19 - $340.79
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $316.01
Resistance Level $365.42
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.05
Wall Street Target $321.71 (-12.0%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 14.2%
Profit Margin 31.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +7.3% premium
PE vs Historical 13.1 vs 10.6 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +7.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $392.10 (+7%)
2-Year Target $420.72 (+15%)
3-Year Target $451.43 (+24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13β†’11) PE COMPRESSION $366.68 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 10.5%) $843.19 (+131%)
Base: (SPY PE: 13.1, Growth: 10.5%) $493.44 (+35%)
Bear: (PE: 10.6, Growth: 10.5%) $400.80 (+10%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (15x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (13x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 15.04 | Current EPS (TTM): $23.82
Bull Case $463.16 (+30%)
Analyst growth 17.6%, PE expands to 16.5
Base Case $421.06 (+18%)
Market implied 17.6%, PE stable at 15.0
Bear Case $243.56 (-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 12.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:11 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:11 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced BAP Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BAP price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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