BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$18.72
-0.62 (-3.21%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 17, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.36
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.33
12.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $18.72, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.28 to $18.23. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.1) is in line with its historical norms (2.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.13, while resistance sits at $19.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $17.13, while resistance sits at $19.88. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$16.28 -
$18.23
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
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View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.2%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($20.74)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.0% growth with 2.1% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.28 -
$18.23
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$17.13
Resistance Level
$19.88
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.07
Wall Street Target
$20.74
(+7.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.3%
Profit Margin
3.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.0% premium
PE vs Historical
3.1 vs 2.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$19.92
(+3%)
2-Year Target
$20.52
(+6%)
3-Year Target
$21.13
(+9%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$19.28
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 27.2%)
$289.33
(+1396%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.1, Growth: 27.2%)
$39.82
(+106%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.6, Growth: 27.2%)
$33.85
(+75%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 43.49 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.43
Bull Case
$41.14
(+120%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.8
Base Case
$37.40
(+100%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 43.5
Bear Case
$12.72
(-32%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 37.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:43 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:43 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced BEKE Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BEKE price and gamma walls.
