BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$14.76
-0.08 (-0.57%)
▼
5d:
-3.69%
30d:
-13.46%
90d:
-6.38%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.60
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.24
27.1% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $14.76, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.55 to $17.03. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.1) compared to its historical average (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.5% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.41 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $14.40. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.41 (+37.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.55 -
$17.03
Company Quality Score
50/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 37.6% below Wall St target ($20.41)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.55 -
$17.03
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$14.40
Resistance Level
$16.24
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.15
Wall Street Target
$20.41
(+37.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.7%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.5% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$13.73
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$12.70
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$11.75
(-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$14.74
(-1%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.0%)
$266.06
(+1693%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 20.0%)
$25.62
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.8, Growth: 20.0%)
$21.78
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$34.94
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case
$31.76
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case
$10.80
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.62
(+25.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+25.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 10:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:42 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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