BHF Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BHF - Brighthouse Financial, Inc.
$59.63
-0.25 (-0.42%)
▼
5d:
-1.5%
30d:
-0.25%
90d:
-7.98%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Apr 1, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BHF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: BHF shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$75.52
Based on 5.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$46.89
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BHF is currently trading at $59.63, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.52 to $60.93. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.0) is in line with its historical norms (3.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.0% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.71 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BHF is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $59.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BHF has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $65.71 (+10.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$59.52 -
$60.93
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
90.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($65.71)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.52 -
$60.93
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.27
(2.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.05
Resistance Level
$60.74
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Apr 1, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
3.02
Wall Street Target
$65.71
(+10.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-31.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-82.1%
Profit Margin
6.2%
PE vs Historical
3.0 vs 3.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.63
(0%)
2-Year Target
$59.63
(0%)
3-Year Target
$59.63
(0%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 3→3)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.32
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.9%)
$525.15
(+781%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 3.0, Growth: 5.9%)
$70.86
(+19%)
Bear:
(PE: 2.6, Growth: 5.9%)
$60.23
(+1%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.71
Bull Case
$130.57
(+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 11.4
Base Case
$118.70
(+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$40.36
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: April 02, 2026 5:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BHF showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
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