What is the fair value of BTU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BTU to be between $31.40 and $36.91. The current price is $34.20.

What is the analyst price target for BTU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BTU is $34.47. This implies a potential upside of 0.8% from current levels.

BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

$34.20

-1.06 (-3.01%) ▼

5d: -4.26%

30d: +15.15%

90d: +32.2%

BUY

MODERATE Confidence

Last Updated: February 2, 2026

Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 1d

Smart Money Accumulation

BTU is down 7.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $37 2026-04-17 with 12,375 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: BTU shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.9% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$44.09

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$27.38

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.1x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $34.20, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.40 to $36.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.2) is in line with its historical norms (12.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.9% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.62. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $31.40 - $36.91

Company Quality Score 54/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 66.2%

All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.47)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.9% growth with -7.0% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $31.40 - $36.91

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.62

Resistance Level $39.95

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.15

Wall Street Target $34.47 (+0.8%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.3%

Profit Margin -0.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.9% premium

PE vs Historical 13.2 vs 12.1 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.9% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $35.19 (+3%)

2-Year Target $36.21 (+6%)

3-Year Target $37.26 (+9%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 13→12) PE COMPRESSION $34.29 (+0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

Last updated: February 02, 2026 11:52 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:52 AM

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Technical Signals Check

Is BTU showing a specific setup today?

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

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NEUTRAL

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Advanced BTU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.

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