Is BTU stock a Buy, Sell, or Hold?

Based on our analysis, BTU is currently a HOLD with low confidence. 📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

What is the fair value of BTU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BTU to be between $32.90 and $36.90. The current price is $35.24.

What is the analyst price target for BTU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BTU is $34.47. This implies a potential upside of -3.4% from current levels.

BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

$35.25

-0.44 (-1.22%) ▼

5d: -7.71%

30d: +4.8%

90d: +15.79%

HOLD

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

BTU is down 4.5% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $37 2026-04-17 with 12,367 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →

Strength: 6.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡

Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$46.28

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$28.74

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $35.24, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.90 to $36.90. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $34.53. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: BTU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $32.90 - $36.90

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 81.9%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.47)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -7.0% revenue growth
CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.7% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.90 - $36.90

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.53

Resistance Level $41.14

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.72

Wall Street Target $34.47 (-3.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.3%

Profit Margin -0.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.5% premium

PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 12.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $36.57 (+3%)

2-Year Target $37.49 (+5%)

3-Year Target $38.42 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $35.57 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 10:27 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:27 AM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Darren Ronald Yeates SELL 13892 shares 2026-02-10

Scott T Jarboe SELL 2151 shares 2026-01-14

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Advanced BTU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.

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