CALX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CALX - CALIX, INC.
$49.40
-0.88 (-1.75%)
▼
5d:
-5.98%
30d:
-4.58%
90d:
-8.97%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 20, 2026
20d
Get Alerted When CALX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CALX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CALX shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$119.12
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$73.97
33.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CALX is currently trading at $49.40, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $50.30 to $53.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 20.2) compared to its historical average (26.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CALX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+51.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CALX is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $48.83. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CALX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (0th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $75.00 (+51.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$50.30 -
$53.41
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
65.4%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 0th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 51.8% below Wall St target ($75.00)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.0% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$50.30 -
$53.41
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.50
(7.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$48.83
Resistance Level
$54.97
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
20.19
Wall Street Target
$75.00
(+51.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
32.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-98.9%
Profit Margin
1.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
20.2 vs 26.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$45.40
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$41.72
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$38.34
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 20→26)
$49.38
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 41.2%)
$153.86
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 20.2, Growth: 41.2%)
$138.98
(+181%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.2, Growth: 41.2%)
$118.13
(+139%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (30x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (20x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 29.59 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.78
Bull Case
$63.44
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 31.1
Base Case
$52.54
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 29.6
Bear Case
$40.19
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 26.6
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 20.2 to 26.0
Stabilization Target:
$63.62
(+28.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is CALX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Cory Sindelar
SELL
50000 shares
2025-11-06
Carl Russo
SELL
420000 shares
2025-11-04
Shane Todd Marshall Elen…
SELL
50000 shares
2025-11-04
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CYBR
CyberArk Software Ltd |
STRONG BUY
38 analysts |
$475 | 52 HOLD |
|
CFLT
Confluent Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$31 | 63 BUY |
|
GTLB
Gitlab Inc |
STRONG BUY
28 analysts |
$34 | 50 HOLD |
|
CRWD
Crowdstrike Holdings Inc |
STRONG BUY
51 analysts |
$490 | 52 HOLD |
|
ZS
Zscaler Inc |
STRONG BUY
46 analysts |
$235 | 55 HOLD |
