EVH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EVH - Evolent Health, Inc Class A Common Stock
$3.21
-0.03 (-0.93%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
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1 traders called EVH this week
0% bullish • 1 bearish
0% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVH is down 18.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: EVH is down 18.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.88
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.89
34.4% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EVH is currently trading at $3.21, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.60 to $4.17. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 10.7) compared to its historical average (13.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.2% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.18 (+183.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EVH is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.15. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $9.18 (+183.4%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$3.60 -
$4.17
Company Quality Score
46/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
Protect Your Profits
Holding EVH? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 183.4% below Wall St target ($9.18)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$3.60 -
$4.17
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$3.16
Resistance Level
$4.06
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.74
Wall Street Target
$9.18
(+183.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-22.8%
Profit Margin
-6.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-7.2% cheaper
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 13.4
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-7.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$3.01
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$2.79
(-14%)
3-Year Target
$2.59
(-20%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→13)
$3.23
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 387.6%)
$22.71
(+601%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 387.6%)
$10.93
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 387.6%)
$9.29
(+187%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 10.7 to 13.4
Stabilization Target:
$4.04
(+24.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+24.8%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:47 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:47 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EVH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced EVH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's EVH price and gamma walls.
