GBX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
GBX - The Greenbrier Companies, Inc.
$52.65
1.00 (1.94%)
▲
5d:
+0.92%
30d:
-7.63%
90d:
+13.18%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 07, 2026
6d
Get Alerted When GBX Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: GBX shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$67.98
Based on 6.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$42.21
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.1x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: GBX is currently trading at $52.65, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $51.36 to $56.87. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 11.5) is in line with its historical norms (11.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GBX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, GBX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $53.39. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: GBX has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (13th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$51.36 -
$56.87
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
13th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 13th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($49.67)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -19.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$51.36 -
$56.87
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$2.77
(5.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.83
Resistance Level
$53.39
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.52
Wall Street Target
$49.67
(-3.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-19.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-33.7%
Profit Margin
6.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
11.5 vs 11.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$52.32
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$53.00
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$53.69
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 12→11)
PE COMPRESSION
$51.73
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 8.9%)
$129.43
(+151%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.5, Growth: 8.9%)
$66.71
(+29%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.8, Growth: 8.9%)
$56.71
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 8.71 | Current EPS (TTM): $5.77
Bull Case
$42.97
(-17%)
Analyst growth -22.3%, PE expands to 9.6
Base Case
$39.07
(-24%)
Market implied -22.3%, PE stable at 8.7
Bear Case
$34.19
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:15 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:15 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is GBX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
William J Krueger
SELL
6000 shares
2026-01-30
Top Rated Railroads Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Railroads by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
CP
Canadian Pacific Railway… |
STRONG BUY
32 analysts |
$88 | 53 HOLD |
|
CSX
CSX Corporation |
BUY
27 analysts |
$41 | 67 BUY |
|
CNI
Canadian National Railwa… |
BUY
32 analysts |
$111 | 60 HOLD |
|
UNP
Union Pacific Corporation |
BUY
29 analysts |
$272 | 55 HOLD |
|
NSC
Norfolk Southern Corpora… |
BUY
27 analysts |
$314 | 62 BUY |
