HAL Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

HAL - Halliburton Company

OIL & GAS FIELD SERVICES, NEC
$39.26
-1.16 (-2.87%) ▼
5d: +4.67%
30d: +9.06%
90d: +40.41%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Protect Your HAL Gains
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 21, 2026 21d
Smart Money Accumulation

HAL is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $35 2026-04-17 with 3,047 OI. Call ratio: 64% View Scanner →

Strength: 3.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: HAL shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$63.30
Based on 12.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$39.30
0.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: HAL is currently trading at $39.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $34.37 to $37.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 14.5) compared to its historical average (13.1). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, HAL is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.37, while resistance sits at $41.18.

Market Sentiment: HAL has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $34.37 - $37.70
Company Quality Score 65/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 58.1%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($37.26)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 3.5% growth with 0.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $34.37 - $37.70
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.37
Resistance Level $41.18
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.54
Wall Street Target $37.26 (-5.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -0.5%
Profit Margin 5.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +3.5% premium
PE vs Historical 14.5 vs 13.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +3.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $40.63 (+4%)
2-Year Target $42.06 (+7%)
3-Year Target $43.53 (+11%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→13) PE COMPRESSION $39.23 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.0%) $107.06 (+173%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.5, Growth: 21.0%) $69.63 (+77%)
Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: 21.0%) $59.19 (+51%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 24.35 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.50
Bull Case $72.05 (+92%)
Analyst growth 79.3%, PE expands to 26.8
Base Case $65.50 (+75%)
Market implied 79.3%, PE stable at 24.4
Bear Case $24.84 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 5:54 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:54 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
11
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Jeffrey Shannon Slocum SELL 5441 shares 2026-03-16
Van H Beckwith SELL 19618 shares 2026-03-16
Timothy Mckeon SELL 3846 shares 2026-03-06

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Advanced HAL Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's HAL price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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