PLTR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
PLTR - Palantir Technologies Inc. Class A Common Stock
$153.19
5.97 (4.06%)
▲
5d:
+14.16%
30d:
+3.67%
90d:
-8.69%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 4, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 04, 2026
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81 traders called PLTR this week
78% bullish • 26 bearish
78% bullish • 26 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: PLTR shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 16.1% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$89.97
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$55.87
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: PLTR is currently trading at $153.19, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $131.00 to $152.67. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 82.9) compared to its historical average (140.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 16.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 647.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $154.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PLTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.41 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, PLTR is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $154.16. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 4.1% recently.
Market Sentiment: PLTR has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $186.41 (+21.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$131.00 -
$152.67
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+4.1%)
- BULLISH: Trading 21.7% below Wall St target ($186.41)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$131.00 -
$152.67
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$126.37
Resistance Level
$154.16
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 4, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
82.89
Wall Street Target
$186.41
(+21.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
70.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
647.6%
Profit Margin
36.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-16.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
82.9 vs 140.5
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-16.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$137.87
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$124.08
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$111.68
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 83→141)
$189.29
(+24%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 82.9, Growth: 39.8%)
$418.71
(+173%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.6, Growth: 39.8%)
$114.11
(-26%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.2, Growth: 39.8%)
$96.99
(-37%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (112x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (83x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 112.36 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.21
Bull Case
$164.15
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 118.0
Base Case
$135.94
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 112.4
Bear Case
$103.99
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 101.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 82.9 to 140.5
Stabilization Target:
$259.66
(+69.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+69.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 05, 2026 3:59 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:59 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is PLTR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
18
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lauren Elaina Friedman S…
SELL
400 shares
2026-02-02
Gilbert Ray Cisneros, Jr.
BUY
2026-01-09
Lauren Elaina Friedman S…
SELL
3400 shares
2026-01-02
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