SEDG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

SEDG - SolarEdge Technologies, Inc.

SEMICONDUCTORS & RELATED DEVICES
$30.95
-3.09 (-9.08%) ▼
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 18, 2026 17d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: SEDG is down 10.5% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$8.74
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$5.43
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: SEDG is currently trading at $30.95, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.24 to $34.46. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 136.4) compared to its historical average (101.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.2% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, SEDG is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $31.30. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 9.1% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range $30.24 - $34.46
Company Quality Score 38/100 (SELL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-9.1%)
  • BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($32.09)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.2% growth expectation is conservative given 660% recent growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -10.5% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $30.24 - $34.46
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY LOW

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $31.30
Resistance Level $36.56
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 136.38
Wall Street Target $32.09 (-5.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 44.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 659.8%
Profit Margin -53.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.2% premium
PE vs Historical 136.4 vs 101.9 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.2% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $37.51 (+10%)
2-Year Target $41.34 (+21%)
3-Year Target $45.55 (+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 136→102) PE COMPRESSION $34.04 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:58 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced SEDG Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's SEDG price and gamma walls.

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