SUZ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
SUZ - Suzano S.A. American Depositary Shares (each representing one Ordinary Share ) representing one Ordinary Share)
$9.37
-0.16 (-1.68%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 11, 2026
10d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: SUZ shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite slightly low pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$2.87
Based on -20.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$1.78
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: SUZ is currently trading at $9.37, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.30 to $9.74. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.0) is in line with its historical norms (8.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.21 (+28.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, SUZ is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $9.41. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.21 (+28.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$9.30 -
$9.74
Company Quality Score
59/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
79.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 28.2% below Wall St target ($12.21)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.30 -
$9.74
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.41
Resistance Level
$10.07
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.02
Wall Street Target
$12.22
(+28.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-1.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-38.6%
Profit Margin
12.8%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 8.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$9.36
(-2%)
2-Year Target
$9.19
(-4%)
3-Year Target
$9.02
(-5%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→9)
$9.57
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: -44.7%)
$19.33
(+103%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: -44.7%)
$6.95
(-27%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.8, Growth: -44.7%)
$5.91
(-38%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.04
Bull Case
$12.44
(+33%)
Analyst growth 14.3%, PE expands to 10.5
Base Case
$11.31
(+21%)
Market implied 14.3%, PE stable at 9.5
Bear Case
$6.73
(-28%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.0 to 8.5
Stabilization Target:
$10.11
(+6.0%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+6.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 11:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 12:09 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is SUZ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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