TOYO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

TOYO - TOYO Co., Ltd Ordinary Shares

Miscellaneous Manufacturing Industries
$7.84
0.49 (6.67%) ▲
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LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 12, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR BETTER ENTRY: TOYO is 13.0% above fair value ($6.94). Market expects 2.3% annual growth, but current price leaves little margin for error. While momentum could continue, risk/reward favors waiting for a pullback.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$13.27
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$8.24
4.9% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: TOYO is currently trading at $7.84, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $5.86 to $6.94. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.5) is in line with its historical norms (3.2). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, TOYO is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $7.73. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 6.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: TOYO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $18.00 (+144.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $5.86 - $6.94
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 60.5%

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TOYO is technically overbought (RSI 73). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.0% above fair value)
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+6.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 144.9% below Wall St target ($18.00)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.3% growth with 0.7% revenue growth
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to 13.0% overvaluation

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $5.86 - $6.94
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.10
Resistance Level $7.73
Current Trend Sideways

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.45
Wall Street Target $18.00 (+144.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -78.6%
Profit Margin 13.7%
Valuation Premium vs History +2.3% premium
PE vs Historical 3.5 vs 3.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $7.52 (+2%)
2-Year Target $7.69 (+5%)
3-Year Target $7.87 (+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 3→3) PE COMPRESSION $7.30 (-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 173.1%) $160.31 (+2081%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.5, Growth: 173.1%) $24.81 (+238%)
Bear: (PE: 2.9, Growth: 173.1%) $21.09 (+187%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (3x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.23 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.75
Bull Case $15.22 (+94%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.2
Base Case $13.84 (+77%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case $4.71 (-40%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 7:42 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:42 PM
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's TOYO price and gamma walls.

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