TSN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
TSN - Tyson Foods, Inc.
$65.33
0.11 (0.17%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
1d
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2 traders called TSN this week
50% bullish • 1 bearish
50% bullish • 1 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: TSN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.8% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$96.55
Based on 8.7% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$59.95
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 14.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: TSN is currently trading at $65.33, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.32 to $62.76. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 14.8) is in line with its historical norms (14.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.8% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, TSN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $65.96. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: TSN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$57.32 -
$62.76
Company Quality Score
67/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
TSN is technically overbought (RSI 72). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($65.17)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.8% growth with 2.2% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$57.32 -
$62.76
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$59.57
Resistance Level
$65.96
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
14.80
Wall Street Target
$65.17
(-0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-87.0%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.8% premium
PE vs Historical
14.8 vs 14.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.74
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$66.27
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$66.80
(+2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→15)
PE COMPRESSION
$65.46
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 13.3%)
$142.94
(+119%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 14.8, Growth: 13.3%)
$94.84
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.6, Growth: 13.3%)
$80.61
(+24%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (49x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 48.57 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.33
Bull Case
$142.12
(+118%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 53.4
Base Case
$129.20
(+98%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 48.6
Bear Case
$43.93
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 41.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is TSN showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Val T. Hoyle
SELL
2025-09-23
Michael T. McCaul
SELL
2025-08-22
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