WAB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WAB - Wabtec Inc.
$249.91
12.54 (5.28%)
▲
5d:
+1.75%
30d:
-5.22%
90d:
+15.08%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 31, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
21d
Smart Money Accumulation
WAB is down 3.6% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $230 2026-04-17 with 230 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WAB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WAB shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$392.20
Based on 9.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$243.53
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 21.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WAB is currently trading at $249.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $240.92 to $261.71. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.1) is in line with its historical norms (21.6). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: WAB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $291.67 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WAB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $253.18. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: WAB has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $291.67 (+16.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$240.92 -
$261.71
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
85.7%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.3%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($291.67)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$240.92 -
$261.71
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$232.80
Resistance Level
$253.18
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 31, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.07
Wall Street Target
$291.67
(+16.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
14.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-3.8%
Profit Margin
10.5%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.1 vs 21.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$247.91
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$245.93
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$243.96
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 21→22)
$250.05
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.9%)
$392.03
(+57%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.1, Growth: 13.9%)
$369.64
(+48%)
Bear:
(PE: 17.9, Growth: 13.9%)
$314.19
(+26%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (35x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (21x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.61 | Current EPS (TTM): $6.82
Bull Case
$449.90
(+86%)
Analyst growth 73.3%, PE expands to 38.1
Base Case
$409.00
(+69%)
Market implied 73.3%, PE stable at 34.6
Bear Case
$160.52
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.1 to 21.6
Stabilization Target:
$256.15
(+2.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:50 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:50 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WAB showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
20
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
4013 shares
2026-03-12
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SELL
1163 shares
2026-03-09
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1150 shares
2026-02-26
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