WTRG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WTRG - Essential Utilities, Inc.
$38.25
-0.54 (-1.39%)
▼
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-0.29%
90d:
-1.39%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Feb 25, 2026
21d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WTRG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: WTRG shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$48.47
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$30.09
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WTRG is currently trading at $38.25, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $38.28 to $39.44. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.1) is in line with its historical norms (17.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.6% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.7% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTRG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WTRG is in a uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $38.07. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.00 (+12.4%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$38.28 -
$39.44
Company Quality Score
52/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$38.28 -
$39.44
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$38.07
Resistance Level
$39.94
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.11
Wall Street Target
$43.00
(+12.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
9.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
30.7%
Profit Margin
28.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
17.1 vs 17.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.02
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$37.79
(-1%)
3-Year Target
$37.57
(-2%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 17→17)
$38.20
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 5.0%)
$57.76
(+51%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.1, Growth: 5.0%)
$44.33
(+16%)
Bear:
(PE: 14.5, Growth: 5.0%)
$37.68
(-2%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 16.16 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.40
Bull Case
$39.74
(+4%)
Analyst growth -6.9%, PE expands to 17.8
Base Case
$36.13
(-6%)
Market implied -6.9%, PE stable at 16.2
Bear Case
$26.38
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 13.7
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 17.1 to 17.4
Stabilization Target:
$38.89
(+1.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+1.7%
Last updated: February 02, 2026 9:34 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:34 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WTRG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
0
Sells
+
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Lisa C. McClain
BUY
2025-09-25
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