WY Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
WY - Weyerhaeuser Company
$25.78
-0.15 (-0.58%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 22, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
WY is down 3.3% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $29 2026-03-20 with 9,003 OI. Call ratio: 90% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.7/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 28.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: WY shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 28.7% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.81
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.61
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: WY is currently trading at $25.78, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $23.87 to $26.57. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 36.1) compared to its historical average (99.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 28.7% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 185.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.65, while resistance sits at $27.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.64 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, WY is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $24.65, while resistance sits at $27.60.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.64 (+18.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$23.87 -
$26.57
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.64)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$23.87 -
$26.57
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$24.65
Resistance Level
$27.60
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
36.06
Wall Street Target
$30.64
(+18.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
2.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
185.9%
Profit Margin
4.7%
Valuation Discount vs History
-28.7% cheaper
PE vs Historical
36.1 vs 99.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-28.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$23.20
(-10%)
2-Year Target
$20.88
(-19%)
3-Year Target
$18.79
(-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 36→100)
$51.97
(+102%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 36.1, Growth: 581.0%)
$87.01
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 581.0%)
$53.81
(+109%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 581.0%)
$45.74
(+77%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (57x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (36x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 56.63 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.46
Bull Case
$14.61
(-43%)
Analyst growth -49.0%, PE expands to 62.3
Base Case
$13.28
(-49%)
Market implied -49.0%, PE stable at 56.6
Bear Case
$17.71
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 48.1
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 36.1 to 99.7
Stabilization Target:
$71.29
(+176.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+176.5%
Last updated: February 01, 2026 3:06 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:06 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is WY showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
2
Buys
2
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Recent Transactions
Thomas R. Suozzi
SELL
2025-10-14
Ro Khanna
SELL
2025-09-05
Ro Khanna
BUY
2025-08-26
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Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's WY price and gamma walls.
