ACCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ACCO - Acco Brands Corporation

BLANKBOOKS, LOOSELEAF BINDERS & BOOKBINDG & RELATD WORK
$3.91
0.00 (0.00%) ▲
5d: -0.51%
30d: +4.55%
90d: +0.0%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 16d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: ACCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% growth. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$7.37
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$4.58
14.5% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 3.6x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ACCO is currently trading at $3.91, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $3.75 to $4.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 3.7) is in line with its historical norms (3.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ACCO is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $3.81. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.67 (+121.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $3.75 - $4.01
Company Quality Score 53/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 60th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.6%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 60th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 121.7% below Wall St target ($8.67)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 1.3% growth with -8.8% revenue growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $3.75 - $4.01
Current vs Fair Value FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.60 (15.5%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $3.82
Resistance Level $4.15
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 3.71
Wall Street Target $8.67 (+121.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -55.6%
Profit Margin 2.6%
Valuation Premium vs History +1.3% premium
PE vs Historical 3.7 vs 3.6 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +1.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $3.96 (+1%)
2-Year Target $4.01 (+3%)
3-Year Target $4.06 (+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 4→4) PE COMPRESSION $3.94 (+1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 24.9%) $45.77 (+1071%)
Base: (SPY PE: 3.7, Growth: 24.9%) $7.62 (+95%)
Bear: (PE: 3.2, Growth: 24.9%) $6.48 (+66%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (9x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.19 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.42
Bull Case $8.49 (+117%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 10.1
Base Case $7.72 (+97%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 9.2
Bear Case $2.62 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 10:21 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:21 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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