AEIS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AEIS - Advanced Energy Industries Inc
$297.27
-13.50 (-4.34%)
▼
5d:
-9.86%
30d:
-11.41%
90d:
+36.45%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
Smart Money Accumulation
AEIS is down 9.4% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $330 2026-05-15 with 23 OI. Call ratio: 73% View Scanner →
Strength: 7.0/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AEIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: AEIS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$490.86
Based on 13.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$304.79
2.5% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AEIS is currently trading at $297.26, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $306.37 to $336.63. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 29.2) is in line with its historical norms (30.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 1.0% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 1.0% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $297.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AEIS is showing support break momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $297.21. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$306.37 -
$336.63
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
33th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AEIS? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 33th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.3%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($337.22)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$306.37 -
$336.63
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$31.89
(10.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$297.22
Resistance Level
$360.00
Current Trend
Support Break
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
29.24
Wall Street Target
$337.22
(+8.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
17.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
1.0%
Profit Margin
8.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-1.0% cheaper
PE vs Historical
29.2 vs 30.1
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-1.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$307.65
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$304.58
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$301.53
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 29→30)
$310.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 29.2, Growth: 22.5%)
$571.22
(+84%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 22.5%)
$437.61
(+41%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 22.5%)
$371.97
(+20%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (48x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (29x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 47.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $6.93
Bull Case
$398.21
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 50.0
Base Case
$329.78
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 47.6
Bear Case
$252.28
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 42.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 29.2 to 30.1
Stabilization Target:
$319.91
(+2.9%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.9%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:41 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:41 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AEIS showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Brian Shirley
SELL
1234 shares
2026-03-13
Stephen Douglas Kelley
SELL
50000 shares
2026-03-10
Elizabeth Karpinski Vonne
SELL
964 shares
2026-02-23
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Advanced AEIS Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AEIS price and gamma walls.
