AG Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AG - FIRST MAJESTIC SILVER CORP
$20.84
-4.33 (-17.20%)
▼
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026
18d
Smart Money Accumulation
AG is down 18.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $20 2026-04-17 with 24,284 OI. Call ratio: 86% View Scanner →
Strength: 10.0/10
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20 traders called AG this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AG is down 18.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AG is down 18.1% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.69
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.54
3.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AG is currently trading at $20.84, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $16.95 to $23.48. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 35.3) compared to its historical average (25.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 11.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.34, while resistance sits at $27.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AG is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $19.34, while resistance sits at $27.90. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 17.2% recently.
Market Sentiment: AG has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$16.95 -
$23.48
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
71.4%
Protect Your Profits
Holding AG? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-17.2%)
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($23.75)
- NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 11.5% growth expectation is conservative given 236% recent growth
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -18.1% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$16.95 -
$23.48
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$19.34
Resistance Level
$27.90
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
35.33
Wall Street Target
$23.75
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
95.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
235.9%
Profit Margin
7.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+11.5% premium
PE vs Historical
35.3 vs 25.5
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+11.5%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$28.06
(+12%)
2-Year Target
$31.29
(+24%)
3-Year Target
$34.89
(+39%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→26)
PE COMPRESSION
$25.19
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 35.3, Growth: 96.6%)
$84.95
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 96.6%)
$53.62
(+113%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 96.6%)
$45.58
(+81%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (35x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 43.29 | Forward EPS (Implied): $0.48
Bull Case
$25.16
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 45.5
Base Case
$20.84
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 43.3
Bear Case
$15.94
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 39.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AG showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced AG Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AG price and gamma walls.
