AGEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AGEN - Agenus Inc.

BIOLOGICAL PRODUCTS, (NO DISGNOSTIC SUBSTANCES)
$2.90
0.04 (1.40%) ▲
5d: -9.09%
30d: -10.22%
90d: -26.95%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Mar 10, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: AGEN shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$20.27
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$12.59
77.0% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.4x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AGEN is currently trading at $2.90, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $2.94 to $3.90. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 1.5) compared to its historical average (7.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 41.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AGEN is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $2.80, while resistance sits at $3.55.

Market Sentiment: AGEN has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $12.33 (+325.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $2.94 - $3.90
Company Quality Score 46/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 50th percentile (NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.6%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
  • BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 325.3% below Wall St target ($12.33)
  • CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-9.1%) - monitor closely

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $2.94 - $3.90
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.69 (23.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $2.80
Resistance Level $3.55
Current Trend Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 1.48
Wall Street Target $12.33 (+325.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 20.4%
Profit Margin -32.9%
Valuation Discount vs History -41.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical 1.5 vs 7.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -41.6% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $2.61 (-10%)
2-Year Target $2.35 (-19%)
3-Year Target $2.11 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 1→7) $10.55 (+264%)
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 1.5 to 7.4
Stabilization Target: $14.47 (+398.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +398.9%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 6:46 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:46 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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