AKAM Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AKAM - Akamai Technologies Inc
$109.34
-5.17 (-4.51%)
▼
5d:
-4.45%
30d:
+11.12%
90d:
+23.65%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
AKAM is down 3.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $110 2026-05-15 with 4,119 OI. Call ratio: 75% View Scanner →
Strength: 4.1/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AKAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AKAM shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 5.1% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$140.01
Based on 7.2% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$86.94
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 13.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AKAM is currently trading at $109.33, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $99.44 to $112.15. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 15.1) compared to its historical average (13.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 5.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.60, while resistance sits at $121.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AKAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AKAM is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $103.60, while resistance sits at $121.12. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 4.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AKAM has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$99.44 -
$112.15
Company Quality Score
68/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
70.0%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-4.5%)
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($109.46)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 5.1% growth with 7.4% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$99.44 -
$112.15
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$103.60
Resistance Level
$121.12
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
15.07
Wall Street Target
$109.46
(-4.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-37.4%
Profit Margin
10.7%
Valuation Premium vs History
+5.1% premium
PE vs Historical
15.1 vs 13.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+5.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$120.34
(+5%)
2-Year Target
$126.48
(+11%)
3-Year Target
$132.93
(+16%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 15→13)
PE COMPRESSION
$114.68
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 10.5%)
$229.80
(+101%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 15.1, Growth: 10.5%)
$154.59
(+35%)
Bear:
(PE: 12.8, Growth: 10.5%)
$131.40
(+15%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (36x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 35.89 | Current EPS (TTM): $3.07
Bull Case
$242.43
(+112%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 39.5
Base Case
$220.39
(+93%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 35.9
Bear Case
$74.93
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 30.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:17 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:17 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AKAM showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Anthony P Williams
SELL
15000 shares
2026-03-11
Mani Sundaram
SELL
1722 shares
2026-03-09
Mani Sundaram
SELL
3186 shares
2026-03-05
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Advanced AKAM Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AKAM price and gamma walls.
