ALAR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ALAR - Alarum Technologies Ltd. American Depositary Share
$7.16
-0.25 (-3.37%)
▼
5d:
-6.89%
30d:
-19.0%
90d:
-55.8%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 3, 2026
Earnings: Mar 19, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ALAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: ALAR shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ALAR is currently trading at $7.16, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $7.75 to $9.47. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 67.4) compared to its historical average (79.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 5.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALAR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.90, while resistance sits at $8.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+217.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ALAR is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $6.90, while resistance sits at $8.64. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.4% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $23.50 (+217.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$7.75 -
$9.47
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.4%)
- BULLISH: Trading 217.1% below Wall St target ($23.50)
- CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -6.9% 5-day decline
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$7.75 -
$9.47
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$6.90
Resistance Level
$8.64
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
67.36
Wall Street Target
$23.50
(+217.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
80.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-99.0%
Profit Margin
3.3%
Valuation Discount vs History
-5.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical
67.4 vs 79.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-5.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$7.02
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$6.65
(-10%)
3-Year Target
$6.29
(-15%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 67→79)
$7.41
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 67.4, Growth: 83.3%)
$25.01
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 83.3%)
$8.28
(+12%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 83.3%)
$7.04
(-5%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 37.40 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.20
Bull Case
$4.53
(-39%)
Analyst growth -45.0%, PE expands to 41.1
Base Case
$4.11
(-45%)
Market implied -45.0%, PE stable at 37.4
Bear Case
$5.09
(-31%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 31.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 67.4 to 79.3
Stabilization Target:
$8.72
(+17.7%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+17.7%
Last updated: February 03, 2026 3:18 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:18 PM
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