AMPX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

AMPX - Amprius Technologies, Inc.

MISCELLANEOUS ELECTRICAL MACHINERY, EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES
$14.72
-1.40 (-8.68%) β–Ό
5d: -21.2%
30d: +37.19%
90d: +77.99%
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LOW Confidence
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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 14, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation

AMPX is down 20.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $18 2026-05-15 with 254 OI. Call ratio: 65% View Scanner →

Strength: 10.0/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: AMPX is down 21.2% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: AMPX is currently trading at $14.72, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.89 to $18.71. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 142.5) compared to its historical average (179.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 7.4% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, AMPX is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.20. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 8.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.00 (+35.9%). Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR
Fair Price Range $11.89 - $18.71
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 67.6%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-8.7%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 35.9% below Wall St target ($20.00)
  • WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -21.2% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $11.89 - $18.71
Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $15.20
Resistance Level $19.76
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 142.50
Wall Street Target $20.00 (+35.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 137.4%
Profit Margin -60.3%
Valuation Discount vs History -7.4% cheaper
PE vs Historical 142.5 vs 179.4 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -7.4% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $13.63 (-7%)
2-Year Target $12.62 (-14%)
3-Year Target $11.69 (-21%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 143β†’179) $14.71 (0%)
πŸ’‘ Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 142.5 to 179.4
Stabilization Target: $18.53 (+25.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +25.9%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 6:14 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:14 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
16
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Wen Hsuan Hsieh SELL 413146 shares 2026-03-12
Steven Chu SELL 155565 shares 2026-03-12
Steven Chu SELL 166632 shares 2026-03-10

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Advanced AMPX Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AMPX price and gamma walls.

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