ASB Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

ASB - Associated Banc-Corp

STATE COMMERCIAL BANKS
$27.26
-0.09 (-0.33%) ▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 23, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: ASB shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$42.25
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$26.24
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.2x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: ASB is currently trading at $27.26, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.08 to $27.01. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.2). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 30.4% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, ASB is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $28.02. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: ASB has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $30.20 (+10.4%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $26.08 - $27.01
Company Quality Score 63/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 59.5%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($30.20)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $26.08 - $27.01
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $25.95
Resistance Level $28.02
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 8.60
Wall Street Target $30.20 (+10.4%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 721.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 30.4%
Profit Margin 33.1%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 8.6 vs 9.2 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $26.72 (-2%)
2-Year Target $26.11 (-5%)
3-Year Target $25.51 (-7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 9→9) $27.30 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.3%) $97.73 (+257%)
Base: (SPY PE: 8.6, Growth: 11.3%) $37.68 (+38%)
Bear: (PE: 7.3, Growth: 11.3%) $32.03 (+17%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 9.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.77
Bull Case $33.86 (+24%)
Analyst growth 14.9%, PE expands to 10.6
Base Case $30.78 (+13%)
Market implied 14.9%, PE stable at 9.7
Bear Case $18.22 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 8.6 to 9.2
Stabilization Target: $29.27 (+7.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +7.0%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
3
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Patrick Edward Ahern SELL 3342 shares 2025-09-11
Matthew R Braeger SELL 2000 shares 2025-09-09
John A Utz SELL 13000 shares 2025-08-29

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Advanced ASB Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's ASB price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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