ASIX Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ASIX - AdvanSix Inc.
$24.12
0.06 (0.25%)
▲
5d:
+13.4%
30d:
+35.28%
90d:
+38.78%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 01, 2026
30d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ASIX is 8.3% above fair value ($22.27). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: ASIX is 8.3% above fair value ($22.27). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$35.05
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.76
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 6.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ASIX is currently trading at $24.12, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $18.21 to $22.27. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 8.0) compared to its historical average (6.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.1% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ASIX is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $24.52. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: ASIX has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $28.00 (+16.1%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$18.21 -
$22.27
Company Quality Score
60/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
58.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.3% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($28.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 10.1% growth with -6.0% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$18.21 -
$22.27
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.20
Resistance Level
$24.53
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.04
Wall Street Target
$28.00
(+16.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-6.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-19.6%
Profit Margin
3.5%
Valuation Premium vs History
+10.1% premium
PE vs Historical
8.0 vs 6.0
STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+10.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$26.56
(+10%)
2-Year Target
$29.24
(+21%)
3-Year Target
$32.19
(+34%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 8→6)
PE COMPRESSION
$24.02
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 31.6%)
$152.74
(+533%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.0, Growth: 31.6%)
$54.95
(+128%)
Bear:
(PE: 6.0, Growth: 31.6%)
$41.00
(+70%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (8x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (8x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 8.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.92
Bull Case
$27.84
(+31%)
Analyst growth 56.3%, PE expands to 9.3
Base Case
$25.31
(+19%)
Market implied 56.3%, PE stable at 8.4
Bear Case
$11.02
(-48%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 7.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 4:58 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:58 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ASIX showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Achilles B Kintiroglou
SELL
577 shares
2025-10-03
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