ATKR Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
ATKR - Atkore Inc.
$58.18
-0.96 (-1.62%)
▼
5d:
+0.09%
30d:
-10.1%
90d:
-10.43%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 05, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ATKR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: ATKR trading at deep discount. Market pricing in -4.1% annual earnings decline, creating value opportunity for patient investors.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$101.41
Based on 8.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$62.97
7.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 11.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: ATKR is currently trading at $58.17, which is considered slightly low relative to its 30-day fair value range of $57.35 to $64.70. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 9.9) compared to its historical average (11.3). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATKR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $53.75, while resistance sits at $61.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.00 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, ATKR is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $53.75, while resistance sits at $61.50.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $73.00 (+23.5%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY LOW
Fair Price Range
$57.35 -
$64.70
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
30th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
77.7%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 30th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 23.5% below Wall St target ($73.00)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$57.35 -
$64.70
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY LOW
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$4.69
(8.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$53.75
Resistance Level
$61.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.93
Wall Street Target
$73.00
(+23.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-0.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-66.4%
Profit Margin
-1.6%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
9.9 vs 11.3
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$56.71
(-4%)
2-Year Target
$54.38
(-8%)
3-Year Target
$52.15
(-12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→11)
$59.34
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$193.37
(+227%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.9, Growth: 13.2%)
$85.73
(+45%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.4, Growth: 13.2%)
$72.87
(+23%)
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 9.9 to 11.3
Stabilization Target:
$67.29
(+13.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+13.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is ATKR showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Mark F Lamps
SELL
1000 shares
2026-02-17
Mark F Lamps
SELL
1000 shares
2025-11-17
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