AVBH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVBH - Avidbank Holdings, Inc. Common stock
$29.10
1.51 (5.47%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 02, 2026
1d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVBH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVBH shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 1.3% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$34.58
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$21.47
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVBH is currently trading at $29.10, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $26.37 to $27.61. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 8.7) is in line with its historical norms (8.4). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVBH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.62 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVBH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $29.55. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation. The stock is showing strong short-term momentum, up 5.5% recently.
Market Sentiment: AVBH has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $31.62 (+14.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$26.37 -
$27.61
Company Quality Score
63/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
60.5%
Protect Your Profits
AVBH is technically overbought (RSI 75). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+5.4% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Strong upward momentum (+5.5%)
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($31.62)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$26.37 -
$27.61
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$26.19
Resistance Level
$29.55
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
8.70
Wall Street Target
$31.63
(+14.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
25.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
63.0%
Profit Margin
-90.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
8.7 vs 8.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$27.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$28.31
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$28.68
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$27.70
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.7%)
$86.01
(+212%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 8.7, Growth: 6.7%)
$33.54
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.4, Growth: 6.7%)
$28.51
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (12x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 12.05 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.27
Bull Case
$42.06
(+45%)
Analyst growth 39.8%, PE expands to 13.3
Base Case
$38.24
(+31%)
Market implied 39.8%, PE stable at 12.1
Bear Case
$18.60
(-36%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 10.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:35 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:35 PM
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Advanced AVBH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's AVBH price and gamma walls.