AVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVT - Avnet, Inc.
$59.34
-0.39 (-0.66%)
▼
5d:
-0.66%
30d:
-9.88%
90d:
+20.4%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 27, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026
29d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AVT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.2% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$115.16
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.51
17.0% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $59.34, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $59.52 to $65.24. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 9.6) is in line with its historical norms (9.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.2% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AVT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $58.04. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: AVT has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (26th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$59.52 -
$65.24
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
26th percentile
(LOW)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 26th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($59.25)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.2% growth with 11.6% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$59.52 -
$65.24
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.22
(5.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$58.04
Resistance Level
$62.36
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 27, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.60
Wall Street Target
$59.25
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
11.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-24.2%
Profit Margin
0.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.2% premium
PE vs Historical
9.6 vs 9.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.2%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$59.85
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$59.97
(+0%)
3-Year Target
$60.09
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$59.49
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 37.1%)
$359.45
(+502%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.6, Growth: 37.1%)
$153.97
(+158%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.2, Growth: 37.1%)
$130.88
(+119%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (24x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.76 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.46
Bull Case
$128.59
(+115%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 26.1
Base Case
$116.90
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 23.8
Bear Case
$39.75
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.2
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 10:04 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:04 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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