AVT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
AVT - Avnet, Inc.
$62.39
-0.35 (-0.56%)
▼
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AVT is 13.3% above fair value ($55.05). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: AVT is 13.3% above fair value ($55.05). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$107.63
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$66.83
6.6% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.9x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AVT is currently trading at $62.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $47.32 to $55.05. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 10.1) compared to its historical average (8.9). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $63.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $53.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AVT is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $63.10. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AVT has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $53.00. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$47.32 -
$55.05
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
46.2%
Protect Your Profits
AVT is technically overbought (RSI 83). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price significantly overextended (+13.3% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading 15.5% above Wall St target ($53.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.4% growth with 5.3% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$47.32 -
$55.05
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$49.00
Resistance Level
$63.10
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.10
Wall Street Target
$53.00
(-15.5%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.3%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-7.6%
Profit Margin
1.0%
Valuation Premium vs History
+4.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 8.9
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+4.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$65.50
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$68.38
(+9%)
3-Year Target
$71.39
(+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→9)
PE COMPRESSION
$62.89
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 43.0%)
$405.00
(+546%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 43.0%)
$183.48
(+193%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 43.0%)
$155.96
(+149%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 22.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.70
Bull Case
$131.91
(+111%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 24.4
Base Case
$119.92
(+92%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 22.2
Bear Case
$40.77
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:19 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:19 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is AVT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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