AXIA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
$10.60
0.28 (2.71%)
▲
5d:
+3.92%
30d:
+15.72%
90d:
+2.51%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
Earnings: Mar 13, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXIA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: AXIA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.4% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$19.24
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$11.95
11.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 10.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: AXIA is currently trading at $10.60, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $9.19 to $10.26. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.7) is in line with its historical norms (10.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXIA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXIA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.85 (+30.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, AXIA is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $10.80. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: AXIA has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $13.85 (+30.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$9.19 -
$10.26
Company Quality Score
57/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
62.9%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 30.7% below Wall St target ($13.85)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.4% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$9.19 -
$10.26
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$9.40
Resistance Level
$10.80
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.73
Wall Street Target
$13.85
(+30.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.4%
Profit Margin
-14.1%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.4% premium
PE vs Historical
10.7 vs 10.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$10.85
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$11.11
(+5%)
3-Year Target
$11.38
(+7%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$10.61
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 69.2%)
$74.36
(+602%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.7, Growth: 69.2%)
$35.77
(+238%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.1, Growth: 69.2%)
$30.41
(+187%)
Last updated: February 03, 2026 1:42 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:42 AM
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