BEKE Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BEKE - KE Holdings Inc. American Depositary Shares (each representing three Class A Ordinary Shares)
$15.00
-0.32 (-2.09%)
▼
5d:
-2.72%
30d:
-8.81%
90d:
-7.52%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: BEKE shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$32.60
Based on 12.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$20.24
25.9% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 2.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BEKE is currently trading at $15.00, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $15.79 to $17.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 2.2) compared to its historical average (2.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.34 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BEKE is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $15.01. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: BEKE has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $20.34 (+32.8%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$15.79 -
$17.12
Company Quality Score
51/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 32.8% below Wall St target ($20.34)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$15.79 -
$17.12
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$15.01
Resistance Level
$17.51
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
2.22
Wall Street Target
$20.34
(+32.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-28.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-83.7%
Profit Margin
3.2%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
2.2 vs 2.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$14.28
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$13.31
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$12.40
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 2→3)
$15.07
(-2%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 20.0%)
$266.65
(+1641%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 2.2, Growth: 20.0%)
$26.45
(+73%)
Bear:
(PE: 1.9, Growth: 20.0%)
$22.48
(+47%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (43x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (2x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 42.92 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.37
Bull Case
$34.94
(+127%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 47.2
Base Case
$31.76
(+106%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 42.9
Bear Case
$10.80
(-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 36.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 2.2 to 2.7
Stabilization Target:
$18.62
(+21.5%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+21.5%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:58 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:58 PM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is BEKE showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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