BTCW Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
BTCW - WisdomTree Bitcoin Fund
$82.56
-6.07 (-6.85%)
▼
5d:
-10.96%
30d:
-10.92%
90d:
-26.74%
WAIT
LOW Confidence
Last Updated: February 2, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BTCW is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BTCW is down 11.0% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: BTCW is currently trading at $82.56, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $90.65 to $99.32.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTCW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Technical Outlook: Technically, BTCW is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $82.28. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 6.8% recently.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (4th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$90.65 -
$99.32
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
4th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
80.5%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 4th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-6.8%)
- WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -11.0% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$90.65 -
$99.32
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$5.56
(6.7%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$82.28
Resistance Level
$96.34
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Last updated: February 03, 2026 6:52 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:52 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is BTCW showing a specific setup today?