What is the fair value of BTU stock?

Our analysis estimates the fair value range for BTU to be between $32.92 and $36.91. The current price is $32.88.

What is the analyst price target for BTU?

The average Wall Street analyst price target for BTU is $34.47. This implies a potential upside of -3.4% from current levels.

BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING

$32.88

-2.80 (-7.85%) ▼

5d: -13.9%

30d: -2.23%

90d: +8.02%

WAIT

LOW Confidence

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Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET

Earnings: May 05, 2026

Smart Money Accumulation

BTU is down 11.9% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $40 2026-06-18 with 608 OI. Call ratio: 68% View Scanner →

Strength: 7.7/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
⏸️ WAIT FOR STABILIZATION: BTU is down 13.9% over the last 5 days. While fundamentals may be solid, catching a falling knife is risky. Wait for price to stabilize before entering.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

Adjust Growth Assumption: 10.0%

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)

EST. PRICE IN 2031

$46.28

Based on 7.0% avg growth

INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY

$28.74

Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.7x Exit PE.

View Full DCF Model

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $32.88, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $32.92 to $36.91. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 13.7) is in line with its historical norms (12.7). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.5% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $33.96. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.8% recently.

Market Sentiment: BTU has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Current signals suggest waiting for a better entry point before initiating new positions.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position FAIR

Fair Price Range $32.92 - $36.91

Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)

Volume Confirmation HIGH

Confidence Score 77.1%

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All Signals

NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
BULLISH: High volume confirmation
BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.8%)
NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.47)
BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 2.5% growth with -7.0% revenue growth
WARNING: Recommendation downgraded due to -13.9% 5-day decline - wait for stabilization

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $32.92 - $36.91

Current vs Fair Value FAIR

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $33.96

Resistance Level $41.14

Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Technical data as of Mar 31, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.72

Wall Street Target $34.47 (-3.4%)

Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%

Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.3%

Profit Margin -0.8%

Valuation Premium vs History +2.5% premium

PE vs Historical 13.7 vs 12.7 FAIR

Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists

Implied Growth (YoY): +2.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)

1-Year Target $36.57 (+3%)

2-Year Target $37.49 (+5%)

3-Year Target $38.42 (+8%)

3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→13) PE COMPRESSION $35.57 (0%)

Earnings growth offset by PE compression

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Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:57 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:57 PM

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Technical Signals Check

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Insider Activity (6 Months)

Buys

Sells

Net

INSIDERS SELLING

Recent Transactions

Darren Ronald Yeates SELL 13892 shares 2026-02-10

Scott T Jarboe SELL 2151 shares 2026-01-14

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Featured in Portfolios

BTU is a key holding in these high-performance investment strategies.

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Advanced BTU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.

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