BTU Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

BTU - Peabody Energy Corporation

BITUMINOUS COAL & LIGNITE SURFACE MINING
$35.26
-0.87 (-2.41%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 3d
Smart Money Accumulation

BTU is down 7.1% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $37 2026-04-17 with 12,375 OI. Call ratio: 96% View Scanner →

Strength: 8.2/10

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: BTU shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$43.73
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$27.15
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 12.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: BTU is currently trading at $35.26, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $30.95 to $36.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 13.6) compared to its historical average (12.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.1% annual earnings growth.

Technical Outlook: Technically, BTU is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $34.12, while resistance sits at $39.95.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $30.95 - $36.63
Company Quality Score 58/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 63.8%

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All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($34.47)
  • BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 4.1% growth with -7.0% revenue growth
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.1% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $30.95 - $36.63
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $34.12
Resistance Level $39.95
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 13.56
Wall Street Target $34.47 (-2.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -7.0%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -8.3%
Profit Margin -0.8%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.1% premium
PE vs Historical 13.6 vs 12.0 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $36.71 (+4%)
2-Year Target $38.21 (+8%)
3-Year Target $39.78 (+13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 14→12) PE COMPRESSION $35.21 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
Last updated: February 01, 2026 6:39 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:39 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

Advanced BTU Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's BTU price and gamma walls.

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