CASH Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CASH - Pathward Financial, Inc. Common Stock
$90.29
0.92 (1.03%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Jan 28, 2026
0d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CASH is 8.8% above fair value ($82.99). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
📊 HOLD - EXTENDED: CASH is 8.8% above fair value ($82.99). Fundamentals are solid but entry is stretched. Hold existing positions; wait for pullback to add new shares.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$114.88
Based on 7.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$71.33
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 8.3x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CASH is currently trading at $90.29, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $71.47 to $82.99. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 9.3) compared to its historical average (8.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CASH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CASH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.00 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CASH is in a uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $91.00. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: CASH has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (6th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $100.00 (+11.9%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$71.47 -
$82.99
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
6th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
64.2%
Protect Your Profits
CASH is technically overbought (RSI 79). Consider hedging now to protect against a potential pullback while keeping your upside.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range (+8.8% above fair value)
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 6th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($100.00)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 3.7% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
- CAUTION: Extended 8.8% above fair value - wait for pullback
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$71.47 -
$82.99
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$3.67
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$73.73
Resistance Level
$91.00
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
9.30
Wall Street Target
$100.00
(+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
27.9%
Profit Margin
24.3%
Valuation Premium vs History
+3.7% premium
PE vs Historical
9.3 vs 8.3
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+3.7%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$92.68
(+4%)
2-Year Target
$96.11
(+8%)
3-Year Target
$99.66
(+12%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 9→8)
PE COMPRESSION
$88.95
(-1%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 11.2%)
$294.89
(+230%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 9.3, Growth: 11.2%)
$122.98
(+38%)
Bear:
(PE: 7.9, Growth: 11.2%)
$104.53
(+17%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (10x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (9x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 10.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $8.21
Bull Case
$110.36
(+22%)
Analyst growth 17.1%, PE expands to 11.5
Base Case
$100.33
(+11%)
Market implied 17.1%, PE stable at 10.4
Bear Case
$58.28
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 8.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 31, 2026 10:50 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:50 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CASH showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CASH Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CASH price and gamma walls.
