CCJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CCJ - Cameco Corporation

Miscellaneous Metal Ores
$123.39
-10.28 (-7.69%) β–Ό
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 13, 2026 12d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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πŸ’‘
Bottom Line:
πŸ“Š HOLD: CCJ trades at premium valuation expecting 10.7% growth. Hold existing positions but don't chase. Wait for better entry.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$95.01
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$58.99
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CCJ is currently trading at $123.39, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $95.85 to $122.41. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 68.5) compared to its historical average (50.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 10.7% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CCJ is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $113.30, while resistance sits at $135.24. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 7.7% recently.

Market Sentiment: CCJ has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. However, the stock is trading significantly above the average Wall Street target of $113.38. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position EXTENDED
Fair Price Range $95.85 - $122.41
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 47.6%

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All Signals

  • BEARISH: Price extended above range
  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-7.7%)
  • BEARISH: Trading 15.2% above Wall St target ($113.38)
  • NEUTRAL: PE elevated vs history but 10.7% growth expectation is conservative given 821% recent growth

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $95.85 - $122.41
Current vs Fair Value EXTENDED

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $113.30
Resistance Level $135.24
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 68.49
Wall Street Target $113.38 (-15.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -14.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 821.4%
Profit Margin 15.2%
Valuation Premium vs History +10.7% premium
PE vs Historical 68.5 vs 50.5 STRETCHED
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +10.7% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $147.97 (+11%)
2-Year Target $163.81 (+23%)
3-Year Target $181.33 (+36%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 68β†’51) PE COMPRESSION $133.70 (0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 68.5, Growth: 40.1%) $367.34 (+175%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.1%) $119.60 (-11%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 40.1%) $101.66 (-24%)
πŸ“ˆ Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (82x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (68x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 81.97 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.51
Bull Case $148.99 (+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 86.1
Base Case $123.39 (0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 82.0
Bear Case $94.39 (-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 73.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:05 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:05 PM
πŸ”₯ Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced CCJ Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCJ price and gamma walls.

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