CCJ Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CCJ - Cameco Corporation
$102.84
-1.08 (-1.04%)
▼
5d:
-2.59%
30d:
-13.14%
90d:
+10.77%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 07, 2026
Smart Money Distribution
CCJ is up 5.3% this week, but smart money is buying puts. Top strike: $85 2026-04-17 with 10,530 OI. Put ratio: 80% View Scanner →
Strength: 5.6/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CCJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: CCJ shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$123.53
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$76.70
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CCJ is currently trading at $102.84, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $106.77 to $119.84. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 40.5) compared to its historical average (50.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 6.8% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 45.3% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCJ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $100.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCJ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.66 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CCJ is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $100.11. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: CCJ has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $123.66 (+20.2%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$106.77 -
$119.84
Company Quality Score
55/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
57.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CCJ? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 20.2% below Wall St target ($123.66)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$106.77 -
$119.84
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$100.11
Resistance Level
$114.05
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
40.53
Wall Street Target
$123.66
(+20.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
1.5%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
45.3%
Profit Margin
16.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-6.8% cheaper
PE vs Historical
40.5 vs 50.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-6.8%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$95.85
(-7%)
2-Year Target
$89.33
(-13%)
3-Year Target
$83.25
(-19%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 41→50)
$102.70
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 40.5, Growth: 63.6%)
$347.09
(+238%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.4, Growth: 63.6%)
$191.39
(+86%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 63.6%)
$162.68
(+58%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (94x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (41x PE) as earnings recover.
Forward PE: 94.34 | Forward EPS (Implied): $1.12
Bull Case
$127.48
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 99.1
Base Case
$105.57
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 94.3
Bear Case
$80.76
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 84.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 40.5 to 50.0
Stabilization Target:
$126.86
(+23.4%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+23.4%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 6:12 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 7:12 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CCJ showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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Advanced CCJ Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CCJ price and gamma walls.
