CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$30.81
0.60 (1.99%)
▲
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026
4d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: CDP is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: CDP is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.3% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$30.56
Based on 1.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$18.98
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $30.81, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $28.22 to $30.43. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 22.9) is in line with its historical norms (22.0). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $30.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is showing sideways momentum. The price is approaching resistance at $30.89. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$28.22 -
$30.43
Company Quality Score
60/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
47.1%
Protect Your Profits
Holding CDP? Use our AI-powered strategies to protect your downside while keeping your long-term position.
View Profit Protection PlanAll Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($33.12)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.3% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$28.22 -
$30.43
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$29.54
Resistance Level
$30.89
Current Trend
Sideways
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
22.89
Wall Street Target
$33.13
(+9.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
0.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
15.4%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.3% premium
PE vs Historical
22.9 vs 22.0
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.3%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.60
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$31.00
(+3%)
3-Year Target
$31.40
(+4%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 23→22)
PE COMPRESSION
$30.19
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.9, Growth: -1.9%)
$28.52
(+-6%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -1.9%)
$27.79
(-8%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: -1.9%)
$23.62
(-22%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 22.39 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.32
Bull Case
$32.51
(+6%)
Analyst growth 0.0%, PE expands to 24.6
Base Case
$29.55
(-4%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.4
Bear Case
$20.09
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.0
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 9:40 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 10:40 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
2
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Lisa G Trimberger
SELL
4896 shares
2025-09-17
Lisa G Trimberger
SELL
3000 shares
2025-09-17
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