CDP Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CDP - COPT Defense Properties
$30.93
0.32 (1.05%)
▲
5d:
-1.84%
30d:
-2.67%
90d:
+9.76%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 27, 2026
26d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CDP shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite oversold pricing.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$41.37
Based on 5.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$25.69
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.4x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CDP is currently trading at $30.93, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $31.37 to $32.35. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 21.8) is in line with its historical norms (22.4). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 0.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 6.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CDP is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $30.55. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $35.50 (+14.8%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$31.37 -
$32.35
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
75.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($35.50)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$31.37 -
$32.35
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.27
(4.1%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$30.56
Resistance Level
$32.25
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
21.78
Wall Street Target
$35.50
(+14.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
7.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
6.9%
Profit Margin
19.9%
Valuation Discount vs History
-0.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
21.8 vs 22.4
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-0.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$30.65
(-1%)
2-Year Target
$30.38
(-2%)
3-Year Target
$30.10
(-3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 22→22)
$30.96
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 6.8%)
$38.63
(+25%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 21.8, Growth: 6.8%)
$37.64
(+22%)
Bear:
(PE: 18.5, Growth: 6.8%)
$32.00
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (23x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 23.28 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.34
Bull Case
$36.37
(+15%)
Analyst growth 6.0%, PE expands to 25.6
Base Case
$33.06
(+5%)
Market implied 6.0%, PE stable at 23.3
Bear Case
$21.22
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 19.8
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 21.8 to 22.4
Stabilization Target:
$31.81
(+2.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+2.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:34 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:34 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
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Technical Signals Check
Is CDP showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Philip L Hawkins
SELL
5536 shares
2026-02-23
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