CTA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CTA - Simplify Managed Futures Strategy ETF
$28.05
-0.96 (-3.31%)
▼
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: CTA shows strong fundamentals and good volume confirmation. Solid entry point despite fair pricing.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CTA is currently trading at $28.05, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $27.34 to $28.34.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $27.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CTA is showing sideways momentum. The price is currently testing key support at $27.46. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.3% recently.
Market Sentiment: CTA has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$27.34 -
$28.34
Company Quality Score
62/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
10th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
84.1%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.3%)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$27.34 -
$28.34
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.79
(2.8%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$27.46
Resistance Level
$29.43
Current Trend
Sideways
Last updated: February 01, 2026 5:08 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 6:08 AM
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| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
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Technical Signals Check
Is CTA showing a specific setup today?
Advanced CTA Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CTA price and gamma walls.