CWCO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWCO - Consolidated Water Co Inc
$37.88
0.20 (0.53%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Mar 16, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWCO shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 2.0% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$69.54
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$43.18
12.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.6x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWCO is currently trading at $37.88, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $35.49 to $37.52. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 24.0) is in line with its historical norms (22.6). At these levels, the market is pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.69, while resistance sits at $39.12.
Market Sentiment: CWCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWCO is in a uptrend. Immediate support is located at $35.69, while resistance sits at $39.12.
Market Sentiment: CWCO has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (1th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $42.50 (+12.2%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$35.49 -
$37.52
Company Quality Score
64/100
(BUY)
Options IV Signal
1th percentile
(COMPLACENCY WARNING)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
68.1%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 1th percentile)
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($42.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 2.0% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$35.49 -
$37.52
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.25
(3.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$35.69
Resistance Level
$39.12
Current Trend
Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
23.97
Wall Street Target
$42.50
(+12.2%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
5.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
21.2%
Profit Margin
12.9%
Valuation Premium vs History
+2.0% premium
PE vs Historical
24.0 vs 22.6
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+2.0%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$38.64
(+2%)
2-Year Target
$39.41
(+4%)
3-Year Target
$40.20
(+6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 24→23)
PE COMPRESSION
$37.89
(0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 24.0, Growth: 27.4%)
$78.36
(+107%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 27.4%)
$72.89
(+92%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 27.4%)
$61.96
(+64%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (34x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 34.44 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.08
Bull Case
$59.86
(+58%)
Analyst growth 46.3%, PE expands to 37.9
Base Case
$54.42
(+44%)
Market implied 46.3%, PE stable at 34.4
Bear Case
$25.30
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 29.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 2:10 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:10 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWCO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Raymond Whittaker
SELL
4755 shares
2025-08-22
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Advanced CWCO Option Strategies
Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's CWCO price and gamma walls.
