CWEN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

CWEN - Clearway Energy, Inc. Class C Common Stock

ELECTRIC SERVICES
$39.13
0.02 (0.05%) ▲
5d: +2.7%
30d: +2.14%
90d: +17.93%
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: Apr 29, 2026 29d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWEN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 21.3% decline. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$57.80
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$35.89
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: CWEN is currently trading at $39.13, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $37.72 to $39.63. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 23.7) compared to its historical average (48.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 21.3% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 555.6% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, CWEN is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $40.11. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (55/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $43.75 (+11.9%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $37.72 - $39.63
Company Quality Score 60/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 62.9%

All Signals

  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (55/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($43.75)

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $37.72 - $39.63
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.08
Resistance Level $40.11
Current Trend Strong Uptrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 23.70
Wall Street Target $43.75 (+11.9%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 21.1%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 555.6%
Profit Margin 11.8%
Valuation Discount vs History -21.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 23.7 vs 48.7 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -21.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.20 (-10%)
2-Year Target $31.68 (-19%)
3-Year Target $28.51 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 24→49) $58.58 (+50%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (26x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (24x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 26.18 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.43
Bull Case $47.52 (+25%)
Analyst growth 15.4%, PE expands to 28.8
Base Case $43.20 (+13%)
Market implied 15.4%, PE stable at 26.2
Bear Case $25.46 (-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 22.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 23.7 to 48.7
Stabilization Target: $80.36 (+105.5%)
PE Expansion Potential: +105.5%
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Last updated: March 30, 2026 1:56 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:56 PM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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