CWT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
CWT - California Water Service
$44.70
0.23 (0.52%)
▲
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 26, 2026
24d
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1 traders called CWT this week
100% bullish • 0 bearish
100% bullish • 0 bearish
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: CWT shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 0.4% growth. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.70
Based on 6.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.69
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 17.5x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: CWT is currently trading at $44.70, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $43.23 to $45.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 17.7) is in line with its historical norms (17.5). At these levels, the market is pricing in 0.4% annual earnings growth.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.00 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, CWT is in a downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $43.52. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $53.00 (+18.6%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range
$43.23 -
$45.04
Company Quality Score
54/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
66.9%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading below Wall St target ($53.00)
- BULLISH: Expecting earnings turnaround to 0.4% growth with 3.9% revenue growth
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$43.23 -
$45.04
Current vs Fair Value
SLIGHTLY HIGH
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$1.52
(3.4%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$43.52
Resistance Level
$46.24
Current Trend
Downtrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
17.69
Wall Street Target
$53.00
(+18.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
3.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-0.2%
Profit Margin
13.6%
Valuation Premium vs History
+0.4% premium
PE vs Historical
17.7 vs 17.5
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+0.4%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$44.88
(+0%)
2-Year Target
$45.06
(+1%)
3-Year Target
$45.24
(+1%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 18→18)
PE COMPRESSION
$44.76
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.1%)
$73.19
(+64%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 17.7, Growth: 9.1%)
$58.05
(+30%)
Bear:
(PE: 15.0, Growth: 9.1%)
$49.34
(+10%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (19x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (18x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.13 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.28
Bull Case
$53.19
(+19%)
Analyst growth 10.9%, PE expands to 21.0
Base Case
$48.36
(+8%)
Market implied 10.9%, PE stable at 19.1
Bear Case
$29.66
(-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 01, 2026 4:44 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 5:44 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is CWT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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