DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)

Services-Computer Programming Services
$6.32
0.02 (0.32%) ▲
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 19, 2026 18d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$12.18
Based on 12.8% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$7.56
16.4% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 7.1x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $6.32, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $6.39 to $6.86. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 6.6) is in line with its historical norms (7.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 2.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $6.14. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. In the options market, Implied Volatility is low (10th percentile), suggesting options premiums are relatively cheap. This makes it an attractive time for long options strategies if you have a directional bias. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $10.66 (+69.3%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $6.39 - $6.86
Company Quality Score 56/100 (HOLD)
Options IV Signal 10th percentile (LOW)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 83.5%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • BULLISH: Options cheap (IV 10th percentile)
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 69.3% below Wall St target ($10.66)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -9.6% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $6.39 - $6.86
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days) ±$0.68 (10.8%)

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $6.14
Resistance Level $7.04
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 6.64
Wall Street Target $10.66 (+69.3%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) -8.6%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -21.4%
Profit Margin 1.4%
Valuation Discount vs History -2.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 6.6 vs 7.1 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -2.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $6.17 (-2%)
2-Year Target $6.04 (-4%)
3-Year Target $5.91 (-6%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 7→7) $6.32 (+0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.3, Growth: 21.5%) $37.95 (+502%)
Base: (SPY PE: 6.6, Growth: 21.5%) $11.30 (+79%)
Bear: (PE: 5.6, Growth: 21.5%) $9.61 (+53%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (29x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (7x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 28.70 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case $14.52 (+130%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 31.6
Base Case $13.20 (+109%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 28.7
Bear Case $4.49 (-29%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 24.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 6.6 to 7.1
Stabilization Target: $6.74 (+6.9%)
PE Expansion Potential: +6.9%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 7:48 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 8:48 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL

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Advanced DAVA Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DAVA price and gamma walls.

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