DAVA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DAVA - Endava plc American Depositary Shares (each representing one Class A Ordinary Share)
$4.37
0.03 (0.69%)
▲
5d:
-6.42%
30d:
-6.62%
90d:
-33.99%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
Get Alerted When DAVA Hits Your Target Price
Join 10,000+ traders who never miss a move
You're in! Check your email to confirm and set your target price.
100% Free
No spam, ever
Unsubscribe anytime
Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
Loading chart...
Loading historical data...
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
📊 HOLD: DAVA shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$10.08
Based on 12.6% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$6.26
30.2% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 5.7x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DAVA is currently trading at $4.37, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $4.47 to $5.10. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 4.4) compared to its historical average (5.7). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.21, while resistance sits at $4.84.
Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.94 (+104.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DAVA is in a strong downtrend. Immediate support is located at $4.21, while resistance sits at $4.84.
Market Sentiment: DAVA has a weak technical setup (25/100), with bearish trendlines and momentum suggesting caution for short-term entries. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $8.94 (+104.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$4.47 -
$5.10
Company Quality Score
49/100
(HOLD)
Options IV Signal
50th percentile
(NORMAL)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
59.6%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Options fairly priced (IV 50th percentile)
- BEARISH: Weak technical setup (25/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 104.6% below Wall St target ($8.94)
- CAUTION: 5-day price weakness (-6.4%) - monitor closely
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$4.47 -
$5.10
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Expected Move (7 Days)
±$0.45
(10.3%)
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$4.21
Resistance Level
$4.84
Current Trend
Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
4.43
Wall Street Target
$8.94
(+104.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-5.9%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-21.4%
Profit Margin
-0.4%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical
4.4 vs 5.7
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$4.02
(-8%)
2-Year Target
$3.69
(-16%)
3-Year Target
$3.39
(-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 4→6)
$4.36
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 21.1%)
$39.15
(+796%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 4.4, Growth: 21.1%)
$7.76
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 3.8, Growth: 21.1%)
$6.60
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (20x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (4x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 19.91 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.23
Bull Case
$10.08
(+116%)
Analyst growth 100.0%, PE expands to 21.9
Base Case
$9.16
(+96%)
Market implied 100.0%, PE stable at 19.9
Bear Case
$3.11
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 16.9
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 4.4 to 5.7
Stabilization Target:
$5.62
(+28.6%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+28.6%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 31, 2026 3:51 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:51 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
| Ticker | Score | Recommendation | Change % |
|---|
Technical Signals Check
Is DAVA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
Top Rated Software - Infrastructure Stocks
Top-rated stocks in Software - Infrastructure by analyst ratings.
| Stock | Analyst Consensus | Analyst Target | Tradestie Score |
|---|---|---|---|
|
MSFT
Microsoft Corporation |
STRONG BUY
61 analysts |
$595 | 63 BUY |
|
S
SentinelOne Inc |
STRONG BUY
36 analysts |
$19 | 55 HOLD |
|
XYZ
Block, Inc |
STRONG BUY
49 analysts |
$86 | 48 HOLD |
|
OKTA
Okta Inc |
BUY
45 analysts |
$101 | 55 HOLD |
|
NET
Cloudflare Inc |
BUY
34 analysts |
$232 | 52 HOLD |
