DLO Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
DLO - DLocal Limited Class A Common Shares
$12.38
0.11 (0.86%)
▲
5d:
-2.71%
30d:
+1.1%
90d:
-12.3%
BUY
HIGH Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 13, 2026
Smart Money Accumulation
DLO is down 3.7% this week, but smart money is accumulating calls. Top strike: $13 2026-05-15 with 1,436 OI. Call ratio: 94% View Scanner →
Strength: 6.3/10
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DLO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.9% annual earnings decline despite 92% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
✅ BUY SIGNAL: DLO appears deeply undervalued. Market expects -8.9% annual earnings decline despite 92% recent earnings growth. Contrarian opportunity at discount to historical valuation.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.81
Based on 11.4% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$17.27
28.3% Margin of Safety
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 15.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: DLO is currently trading at $12.38, which is considered fair relative to its 30-day fair value range of $11.69 to $12.75. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 11.3) compared to its historical average (15.0). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.9% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 92.5% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.30, while resistance sits at $13.50.
Market Sentiment: DLO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.75 (+44.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, DLO is in a downtrend. Immediate support is located at $11.30, while resistance sits at $13.50.
Market Sentiment: DLO has a strong technical setup (60/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $17.75 (+44.7%). Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
FAIR
Fair Price Range
$11.69 -
$12.75
Company Quality Score
58/100
(HOLD)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
83.3%
All Signals
- NEUTRAL: Price in fair range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (60/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BULLISH: Trading 44.7% below Wall St target ($17.75)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$11.69 -
$12.75
Current vs Fair Value
FAIR
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$11.30
Resistance Level
$13.50
Current Trend
Downtrend
Technical data as of
Mar 30, 2026
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
11.29
Wall Street Target
$17.75
(+44.7%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
65.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
92.5%
Profit Margin
18.0%
Valuation Discount vs History
-8.9% cheaper
PE vs Historical
11.3 vs 15.0
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-8.9%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$11.18
(-9%)
2-Year Target
$10.18
(-17%)
3-Year Target
$9.28
(-24%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 11→15)
$12.32
(+0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.4, Growth: 18.8%)
$40.78
(+232%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 11.3, Growth: 18.8%)
$20.55
(+68%)
Bear:
(PE: 9.6, Growth: 18.8%)
$17.47
(+42%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (22x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (11x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 21.68 | Current EPS (TTM): $0.56
Bull Case
$25.38
(+100%)
Analyst growth 90.0%, PE expands to 23.9
Base Case
$23.07
(+81%)
Market implied 90.0%, PE stable at 21.7
Bear Case
$8.26
(-35%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 18.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 11.3 to 15.0
Stabilization Target:
$16.30
(+32.8%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+32.8%
Share & Embed Analysis
Last updated: March 30, 2026 3:08 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:08 PM
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Technical Signals Check
Is DLO showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
0
Sells
0
Net
NEUTRAL
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