DOCN Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOCN - DigitalOcean Holdings, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING, DATA PROCESSING, ETC.
$55.25
-0.88 (-1.57%) ▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 24, 2026 23d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: DOCN shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.5% annual growth which appears achievable. Moderate conviction.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$47.47
Based on -0.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$29.48
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOCN is currently trading at $55.25, which is considered slightly high relative to its 30-day fair value range of $49.36 to $56.12. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a premium (Forward PE: 28.8) compared to its historical average (25.3). At these levels, the market is pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCN is in a strong uptrend. Immediate support is located at $49.08, while resistance sits at $64.09.

Market Sentiment: DOCN has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position SLIGHTLY HIGH
Fair Price Range $49.36 - $56.12
Company Quality Score 62/100 (BUY)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 72.4%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($56.17)
  • NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 4.5% annual earnings growth - fairly valued

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $49.36 - $56.12
Current vs Fair Value SLIGHTLY HIGH

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $49.08
Resistance Level $64.09
Current Trend Strong Uptrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 28.83
Wall Street Target $56.17 (+0.1%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 15.7%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 353.7%
Profit Margin 29.1%
Valuation Premium vs History +4.5% premium
PE vs Historical 28.8 vs 25.3 FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): +4.5% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $58.66 (+5%)
2-Year Target $61.30 (+9%)
3-Year Target $64.05 (+14%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 29→25) PE COMPRESSION $56.22 (+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 28.8, Growth: -4.9%) $48.34 (+-14%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: -4.9%) $37.40 (-33%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: -4.9%) $31.79 (-43%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
Trailing PE: 24.10 | Current EPS (TTM): $2.50
Bull Case $51.61 (-7%)
Analyst growth -22.1%, PE expands to 26.5
Base Case $46.92 (-15%)
Market implied -22.1%, PE stable at 24.1
Bear Case $40.96 (-26%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 20.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: January 30, 2026 10:02 PM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 11:02 PM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Bratin Saha SELL 13010 shares 2025-09-03

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Advanced DOCN Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOCN price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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