DOCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOCS - Doximity, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES
$23.73
0.04 (0.17%) ▲
5d: -5.19%
30d: -3.26%
90d: -45.69%
HOLD
LOW Confidence
Analysis Updated: Mar 30, 2026 12:00 AM ET
Earnings: May 21, 2026

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DOCS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$45.53
Based on 4.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$28.27
16.1% Margin of Safety

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 22.5x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOCS is currently trading at $23.73, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $24.06 to $25.62. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 14.6) compared to its historical average (22.5). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 13.3% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $23.13. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (45/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $39.55 (+66.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $24.06 - $25.62
Company Quality Score 57/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 79.5%

All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (45/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BULLISH: Trading 66.6% below Wall St target ($39.55)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -5.2% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $24.06 - $25.62
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $23.13
Resistance Level $25.41
Current Trend Strong Downtrend
Technical data as of Mar 30, 2026

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 14.61
Wall Street Target $39.55 (+66.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 9.8%
Earnings Growth (YoY) -16.2%
Profit Margin 37.5%
Valuation Discount vs History -13.3% cheaper
PE vs Historical 14.6 vs 22.5 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -13.3% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $21.36 (-10%)
2-Year Target $19.22 (-19%)
3-Year Target $17.30 (-27%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 15→23) $26.63 (+12%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 5.0%) $42.03 (+77%)
Base: (SPY PE: 14.6, Growth: 5.0%) $27.49 (+16%)
Bear: (PE: 12.4, Growth: 5.0%) $23.36 (-2%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (21x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (15x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 20.51 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.19
Bull Case $36.64 (+46%)
Analyst growth 36.4%, PE expands to 22.6
Base Case $33.31 (+33%)
Market implied 36.4%, PE stable at 20.5
Bear Case $16.60 (-34%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 17.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 14.6 to 22.5
Stabilization Target: $36.53 (+54.0%)
PE Expansion Potential: +54.0%
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Last updated: March 31, 2026 12:28 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 1:28 AM
🔥 Top Stocks Breaking Out Now
Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Technical Signals Check
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
6
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Siddharth Sitaram SELL 2319 shares 2026-03-10
Kira Scherer Wampler SELL 2000 shares 2026-03-03
Siddharth Sitaram SELL 2282 shares 2026-02-10

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