DOCS Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?

DOCS - Doximity, Inc.

SERVICES-COMPUTER PROGRAMMING SERVICES
$37.47
-1.16 (-3.00%) ▼
HOLD
LOW Confidence
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Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 05, 2026 4d

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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)

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💡
Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: DOCS shows mixed signals. Fine to hold existing positions. Not urgent to buy or sell.

Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)

Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation

0% (Stagnation) 50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$60.31
Based on 7.0% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$37.45
Trading above fair value

How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.

In-depth Analysis How we analyze

Valuation Analysis: DOCS is currently trading at $37.47, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $39.88 to $44.73. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 22.4) compared to its historical average (28.8). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 8.1% over the next few years. This pessimistic expectation contrasts with the company's recent 40.9% earnings growth, suggesting potential undervaluation if the company simply maintains stability.

Technical Outlook: Technically, DOCS is in a strong downtrend. The price is currently testing key support at $37.33. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside. Short-term momentum is weak, with the stock down 3.0% recently.

Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Wall Street analysts see significant upside, with an average price target of $63.57 (+64.6%). The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.

Quick Decision Summary

Current Position OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range $39.88 - $44.73
Company Quality Score 55/100 (HOLD)
Volume Confirmation HIGH
Confidence Score 74.8%

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All Signals

  • BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
  • NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
  • BULLISH: High volume confirmation
  • BEARISH: Downward momentum (-3.0%)
  • BULLISH: Trading 64.6% below Wall St target ($63.57)
  • CAUTION: Recommendation downgraded due to -7.8% 5-day decline

Fair Price Analysis

30-Day Fair Range $39.88 - $44.73
Current vs Fair Value OVERSOLD

Support & Resistance Levels

Support Level $37.33
Resistance Level $42.13
Current Trend Strong Downtrend

Fundamental Context

Forward P/E (Next Year Est.) 22.39
Wall Street Target $63.57 (+64.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY) 23.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY) 40.9%
Profit Margin 40.7%
Valuation Discount vs History -8.1% cheaper
PE vs Historical 22.4 vs 28.8 CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY): -8.1% (market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target $35.50 (-8%)
2-Year Target $32.63 (-16%)
3-Year Target $29.98 (-22%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes) (PE: 22→29) $38.57 (0%)
3-Year Scenarios Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull: (PE: 22.4, Growth: 9.9%) $51.34 (+33%)
Base: (SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 9.9%) $51.14 (+32%)
Bear: (PE: 19.0, Growth: 9.9%) $43.47 (+13%)
📈 Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (31x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (22x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 30.98 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.25
Bull Case $58.81 (+57%)
Analyst growth 38.0%, PE expands to 34.1
Base Case $53.47 (+43%)
Market implied 38.0%, PE stable at 31.0
Bear Case $26.34 (-30%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 26.3
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡 Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 22.4 to 28.8
Stabilization Target: $49.70 (+28.6%)
PE Expansion Potential: +28.6%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 1:46 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 2:46 AM
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Ticker Score Recommendation Change %
Insider Activity (6 Months)
1
Buys
4
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Regina M Benjamin SELL 5000 shares 2025-10-10
Timothy S Cabral SELL 20000 shares 2025-09-24
Regina M Benjamin SELL 5000 shares 2025-09-12

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Advanced DOCS Option Strategies

Professional options setups generated by AI based on today's DOCS price and gamma walls.

Iron Condor Bull Call Bear Put Collar

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