EA Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EA - Electronic Arts Inc
$203.92
-0.03 (-0.01%)
▼
BUY
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Feb 03, 2026
2d
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
💡 BUY OPPORTUNITY: EA shows positive signals but monitor for confirmation. Market pricing in 4.6% decline. Moderate conviction.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$284.93
Based on 14.5% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$176.92
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 25.0x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EA is currently trading at $203.92, which is considered oversold relative to its 30-day fair value range of $204.03 to $204.45. From a valuation perspective, the stock is trading at a discount (Forward PE: 34.9) compared to its historical average (40.1). Remarkably, the market is currently pricing in an annual earnings decline of 4.6% over the next few years. This aligns with recent fundamental challenges.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EA is in a strong uptrend. The price is currently testing key support at $203.05. A bounce from this level would confirm strength, while a break below could signal further downside.
Market Sentiment: The stock shows a mixed technical setup (40/100), with neutral trendline and momentum signals. Combining these factors, the current setup offers a favorable risk/reward ratio for buyers.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
OVERSOLD
Fair Price Range
$204.03 -
$204.45
Company Quality Score
61/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
74.8%
All Signals
- BULLISH: Price oversold vs 30-day range
- NEUTRAL: Mixed technical signals (40/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- NEUTRAL: Near Wall St target ($202.36)
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$204.03 -
$204.45
Current vs Fair Value
OVERSOLD
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$203.05
Resistance Level
$204.50
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
34.85
Wall Street Target
$202.36
(-0.8%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
-9.2%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
-51.4%
Profit Margin
12.1%
Valuation Discount vs History
-4.6% cheaper
PE vs Historical
34.9 vs 40.1
CHEAP
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
-4.6%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$194.57
(-5%)
2-Year Target
$185.62
(-9%)
3-Year Target
$177.08
(-13%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 35→40)
$203.77
(0%)
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 34.8, Growth: 40.5%)
$565.54
(+177%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 22.3, Growth: 40.5%)
$361.91
(+78%)
Bear:
(PE: 19.0, Growth: 40.5%)
$307.63
(+51%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
Forward PE: 22.62 | Forward EPS (Implied): $9.01
Bull Case
$246.23
(+21%)
Analyst growth 15.0%, PE expands to 23.8
Base Case
$203.92
(0%)
Market implied 0.0%, PE stable at 22.6
Bear Case
$156.00
(-24%)
Severe decline -15.0%, PE contracts to 20.4
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
💡
Upside Surprise Potential
If earnings stabilize (0% growth), PE could expand from 34.8 to 40.1
Stabilization Target:
$234.69
(+15.1%)
PE Expansion Potential:
+15.1%
Last updated: January 31, 2026 2:09 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 3:09 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EA showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
15
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
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SELL
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2025-10-20
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