EBMT Stock Analysis: Buy, Sell, or Hold?
EBMT - Eagle Bancorp Montana, Inc
$21.71
0.20 (0.93%)
▲
5d:
+5.39%
30d:
+8.82%
90d:
+35.35%
HOLD
MODERATE Confidence
Last Updated: January 30, 2026
Earnings: Apr 28, 2026
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Interactive Price Chart (1 Month)
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Bottom Line:
📊 HOLD: EBMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
📊 HOLD: EBMT is fairly valued with market pricing in 1.1% annual growth. Fine to hold or accumulate slowly on dips.
Long-Term Wealth Forecast (2031)
Based on Analyst Consensus Growth & Historical Valuation
0% (Stagnation)
50% (Hyper Growth)
EST. PRICE IN 2031
$27.17
Based on 5.3% avg growth
INTRINSIC VALUE TODAY
$16.87
Trading above fair value
How this is calculated: We use a Growth Decay Model: starting with analyst consensus growth (adjusted above) and gradually slowing it down to a long-term terminal rate (4%) by Year 5. This provides a more realistic valuation than assuming constant hyper-growth. We then apply a 9.8x Exit PE.
In-depth Analysis How we analyze
Valuation Analysis: EBMT is currently trading at $21.71, which is considered extended relative to its 30-day fair value range of $19.73 to $21.04. The stock's valuation (Forward PE: 10.1) is in line with its historical norms (9.8). At these levels, the market is pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth. This growth rate appears achievable given the company's track record, suggesting the valuation is rational.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EBMT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Technical Outlook: Technically, EBMT is in a strong uptrend. The price is approaching resistance at $22.07. A breakout above this level would be a bullish signal, while rejection here could lead to consolidation.
Market Sentiment: EBMT has a strong technical setup (75/100), with favorable trendlines, momentum, and price action for short-term traders. The stock is fairly positioned - fine to hold existing positions or accumulate slowly on dips, but not an urgent buy.
Quick Decision Summary
Current Position
EXTENDED
Fair Price Range
$19.73 -
$21.04
Company Quality Score
65/100
(BUY)
Volume Confirmation
HIGH
Confidence Score
55.7%
All Signals
- BEARISH: Price extended above range
- BULLISH: Strong technical setup (75/100)
- BULLISH: High volume confirmation
- BEARISH: Trading above Wall St target ($20.50)
- NEUTRAL: Market pricing in 1.1% annual earnings growth - fairly valued
Fair Price Analysis
30-Day Fair Range
$19.73 -
$21.04
Current vs Fair Value
EXTENDED
Support & Resistance Levels
Support Level
$20.09
Resistance Level
$22.08
Current Trend
Strong Uptrend
Fundamental Context
Forward P/E (Next Year Est.)
10.11
Wall Street Target
$20.50
(-5.6%)
Revenue Growth (YoY)
13.4%
Earnings Growth (YoY)
39.6%
Profit Margin
16.4%
Valuation Premium vs History
+1.1% premium
PE vs Historical
10.1 vs 9.8
FAIR
Market-Implied Price Targets
If current PE multiple persists
Implied Growth (YoY):
+1.1%
(market-implied from PE analysis)
1-Year Target
$21.95
(+1%)
2-Year Target
$22.19
(+2%)
3-Year Target
$22.43
(+3%)
3-Yr Target (if PE normalizes)
(PE: 10→10)
PE COMPRESSION
$21.74
(+0%)
Earnings growth offset by PE compression
3-Year Scenarios
Using analyst projected EPS growth
Bull:
(PE: 22.3, Growth: 6.5%)
$57.88
(+167%)
Base:
(SPY PE: 10.1, Growth: 6.5%)
$26.25
(+21%)
Bear:
(PE: 8.6, Growth: 6.5%)
$22.31
(+3%)
📈
Valuation based on Current Earnings
RECOVERY PLAY: Stock looks expensive now (11x PE), but valuation improves significantly next year (10x PE) as earnings recover.
Trailing PE: 11.21 | Current EPS (TTM): $1.90
Bull Case
$26.51
(+22%)
Analyst growth 13.2%, PE expands to 12.3
Base Case
$24.10
(+11%)
Market implied 13.2%, PE stable at 11.2
Bear Case
$14.48
(-33%)
Severe decline -20.0%, PE contracts to 9.5
These are projections based on PE multiples and EPS growth scenarios, not predictions. Actual results may vary significantly.
Last updated: February 02, 2026 3:29 AM ET
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
Data refreshes hourly during market hours. Next update: 4:29 AM
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Technical Signals Check
Is EBMT showing a specific setup today?
Insider Activity (6 Months)
0
Buys
1
Sells
Net
INSIDERS SELLING
Recent Transactions
Corey Jensen
SELL
2500 shares
2025-08-13
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